Archive for November 25th, 2009
Seesmic Takes The Lead – What Will Tweetdeck Do To Catch Up?
The Battle
Last week Seesmic finally flexed its muscles and opened up a commanding lead on rival Tweetdeck. I know, Tweetdeck still accounts for substantially more tweet volume than Seesmic (at least that is according to the last report I read) but don’t let that fool you. Remember it was just over a year ago that the twitterverse was gaga over Twhirl until Tweetdeck came on the scene with its columns and a way to group the gozillion people you were following. This space is still moving very fast and today’s 800 pound gorilla can quickly find itself being tomorrow’s also-ran. For the last nine months or so I thought it might just be Seesmic that would be the eventual also-ran but not any longer.
I have been baffled for most of this year as I watched Tweetdeck clean Seesmic’s clock. How on Earth was this upstart from London laying the smack down on Loic and his $12 million team in San Francisco? I came to the conclusion that Loic must not have seen Tweetdeck coming and was caught a little off guard at how quickly Twhirl users and new Twitter users adopted Tweetdeck. It is also important to remember that for the better part of 2009 Seesmic was still trying to get traction with Seesmic Video and while they haven’t shut it down it has most definitely been pushed to the back burner. Last week however, Loic finally dropped the hammer on Tweetdeck.
Distribution Wins
I was wondering when the divergence would begin. Both competitors had been matching each other pretty much feature for feature with very little meaningful differentiation. For most users it came down to a UI preference. But Seesmic has now embarked on a strategy of competing where its substantial capital offers the largest advantage. Distribution.
Seesmic users can now access the product via Adobe Air Desktop Client, the web, Windows Desktop, Android and Blackberry. I’m sure it is safe to assume an iPhone application is not too far off as well. Without raising significantly more capital Tweetdeck simply will not be able to go head to head with a similar strategy. Developing and supporting six or seven applications across six or seven hardware platforms is very expensive and requires a lot of manpower. This task is made significantly harder by the fact that once people find an application they like and are comfortable with they are real tough to convert. Seesmic could very well own the Android market before Tweetdeck gets there. I know there are a lot of Tweetie users who looked at Tweetdeck’s iPhone application and decided to stay with Tweetie.
Openness Leads to Innovation – Twitter Is Open
I met with one of Twitter’s investors not too long ago and was discussing my need to improve distribution for Tweetworks. I told him how I have been hounding Loic and Iain Dodsworth to plug in to the Tweetworks API with no success. He made the observation that it was quite ironic that both of these gatekeepers had built closed platforms off the backbone of an open platform. When I mentioned the rumor that Tweetdeck was supposedly charging developers $50,000 to have their application added he just laughed. Of course I understand why these guys didn’t see the need to add Tweetworks to their applications, our user base is small and their user bases were growing by double digits percentage points every month. But why not create a plug-in architecture like Firefox or WordPress? Heck even Microsoft allows plug-ins from third party developers in Excel, Outlook and other applications. Letting developers expand the utility of your product for your users is just smart.
Guess what? Seesmic finally got hip to this concept too. Loic announced at Microsoft PDC 09 that Seesmic for Windows will have a plug-in architecture. This is a game changer. Instead of me trying to convince people to come to Tweetworks.com I will soon be able to tell them to add the Tweetworks plug-in to Seesmic. I get to extend my distribution, Seesmic gets to offer users a wider variety of services without doing all the work and the user gets to use a service he values from his desktop when he chooses to do so.
This is a playing field where Tweetdeck needs to fight. And they had better hop to it. As I mentioned earlier Tweetdeck currently has a much larger user base than Seesmic, at least that is what the tweet volume would indicate. If given a choice today of which desktop client to develop a plug-in for most application developers would choose Tweetdeck. But the window is opportunity is a short one. If Seesmic gets an appreciable head start here too I think it may spell doom for gents in London. Developers who felt shut out by that $50K admission fee will certainly relish in the opportunity to celebrate a new open platform.
Twitter Lists Have Leveled the Playing Field and Opened the Door
Another new competitive threat to Tweetdeck came from Twitter itself with the launch the Lists feature. Twitter has effectively nullified what was once a high conversion cost asset of Tweetdeck’s. Why create groups in Tweetdeck when you can’t access them from other applications? Now Seesmic users, as an example, can create a list via Twitter and access it on their desktop, the web and their mobile device. The door is also wide open to new entrants and smaller competitors like Tweetie and Spaz.
What Should Tweetdeck Do Now?
- Open Up – Create a plug-in architecture and do it fast. Iain and team should focus their energy on creating an attractive and engaging experience for developers.
- Add Advanced Functionality – It’s time Tweetdeck moved beyond being a simple database query tool with a lightweight posting feature. For starters maybe add a rich contact management system. Right now the application doesn’t know that Mike Langford on Facebook is @MikeLangford on Twitter. This functionality alone would open the doors to some serious analytical tools that leverage the processing power of the desktop.
- Pick a Niche Or Two – Let Seesmic become the Toyota of social aggregation tools. There is still room for BMW. Who uses Tweetdeck and why? Focus on making Tweetdeck the best tool for these users.
- Own Something - Did you notice earlier that I said Seesmic Video is on the back burner? I didn’t say it was dead. How long do you think it will be before Loic adds it to Seesmic desktop and mobile clients? Tweetdeck doesn’t yet own a stream of information. Twitter, Facebook, MySpace and now LinkedIn own Tweetdeck’s users. Owning some centralized source of value beyond the desktop and iPhone clients would sure help Tweetdeck’s chance of monetizing. This is especially important as Seesmic can continue to force Tweetdeck to be locked into giving these clients away for free. It might be smart to look at acquiring or merging with a small web application provider or two whose value would increase dramatically if distributed through Tweetdeck’s client footprint.
Conclusion
Seesmic has radically altered the landscape. If Tweetdeck is to remain a strong player over the long term it needs to find new areas of strength and leverage them to the fullest. Sure they could try to raise additional capital to take Seesmic head on in distribution but that might be a tough sell to investors. The money guys don’t want to hear how you just go lapped and need money to chase your competitor down in a foot race. They want to hear how you can create sustainable and defensible value of your own.
As for me I am a big fan of both Loic and Iain. I love what they have done and continue to do for our space. I look forward to seeing the Tweetworks plug-in on Seesmic in the not too distant future and hope there is a similar opportunity with Tweetdeck.


